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Dolphins v Knights
Sun 28/4, 2pm
Try Scorer Value Tips
Dylan Lucas FTS @ $29 on Betr + LTS @ $26 on Dabble
Game Day Picks:
Leo Thompson FTS & LTS @ $81 on Bet365
Adam Elliott FTS & LTS @ $51 on Bet365
Tyson Gamble 1st, 2nd or 3rd try @ $14 on Neds
Game Day Preview – The Knights are missing Kalyn Ponga and even though the Dolphins beat the Eels convincingly last week, let’s remember they are still missing 4-5 of their best players!
Dylan Lucas is $26 for FTS and LTS on Bet365 and Dabble (still $29 for FTS on Betr). He’s looked great on the right edge, replacing Tyson Frizell (injured). Scored a couple of tries this season already – we like this price for Lucas in a Knights side which is a bit better than the +6.5 line suggests!
We’ve also added Gamble, Elliott and Leo Thompson as picks. Elliott has scored the first and second try in a game (v the Cowboys earlier this season) and also LTS in another game. He’s looked great in 2024 and the Dolphins are missing a few experienced players including Flegler and Felise Kaufusi – we think Elliott is a juicy price here. Thompson has been great for the last 12 months for the Knights – this is purely a play on the number. Gamble will be looking to lock up a spot in the halves – $14 to score any of the first three tries is a great price.
Same Game Multi
We’ll release the SGM for this game our free Discord channel on game day.
Want to know more about how we built our NRL try scorer models? Check out our explainer article here. Remember the model odds are only a guide to finding the best value first try scorer and anytime try scorer value plays!
Raiders v Sharks
Sun 28/4, 4.05pm
Try Scorer Value Tips
Sione Katoa ATS @ $2.25 on Bet365
Game Day Picks:
Nicho Hynes FTS & LTS @ $29 on Bet365
Nicho Hynes 1st, 2nd or 3rd try @ $11 on Neds
Ethan Strange 1st, 2nd or 3rd try @ $13 on Neds
Game Day Preview – Both sides are missing one of their halves in this one – Fogarty (injured) and Trindall (suspension). We’ve added Hynes and Strange as picks – they’re both strong running halves and we love the value on offer here. Sione Katoa is down to $2.02 at best on Neds but is still clear value according to our model (which has him priced at $1.63).
Same Game Multi
We’ll release the SGM for this game our free Discord channel on game day.
Warriors v Titans
Thu 25/4, 2.00pm
Try Scorer Value Tips
Jaimin Jolliffe FTS @ $67 (Neds) + LTS @ $81 (TAB)
Beau Fermor FTS & LTS @ $34 on Bet365
Chris Randall 1st, 2nd or 3rd try @ $19 on Neds
Game day pick – Brian Kelly 1st, 2nd or 3rd try @ $9.5 on Neds
Game Day Preview – We’ve added Brian Kelly to our picks. He’s on Foran’s lethal left edge (Fifita and AKP too) and running at the Wahs right edge with SJ playing hurt + Laban (rookie 2nd rower).
Fermor is still $34 for FTS on Bet365 and Betr. Randall is still the same price on Neds. Jolliffe is $67 on Playup and Neds for FTS & LTS.
With the Wahs big favourites – all the value is with the Titans players today. The Titans have been within a try of winning when they were expected to get smashed the last 2 rounds. They’ve got enough firepower in attack to score a few tries, even if they can’t get the win against the Warriors in NZ on Anzac Day! Jolliffe has scored 2 tries this season and Fermor’s a great hole runner. Randall is more based on the price.
Wicky Preview Wed 24/4 – The Titans have unexpectedly covered the line in their last two games. They now go to NZ to play the Warriors on Anzac Day, surely this is the day they get a cricket score put on them! Capewell being replaced by Laban (right edge) means that the Titans at least have one weakness to attack – through Foran, David Fifita and AKP on their lethal left edge.
Same Game Multi
We’ll release the SGM for this game our free Discord channel on game day.
Dragons v Roosters
Thu 25/4, 4.05pm
Try Scorer Value Tips
Hame Sele FTS & LTS @ $81 on Neds + Sportsbet
Game day pick – Raymond Faitala-Mariner 1st, 2nd or 3rd try @ $14 on Sportsbet
Game Day Preview – We’ve added RFM as our game day pick. He plays on the Dragons’ favoured right side. Ben Hunt has almost twice the amount of try assists as the next best player in 2024 (13 v 7). The Roosters are missing Radley and Daniel Tupou (24 hr update) – we love big RFM at this price! Hame Sele is still available at $81 for FTS and LTS on Neds – this is purely a numbers play. He’s a strong runner of the ball and we expect this to be a close game and Radley missing only helps the chances of a Dragons middle forward scoring first!
Wicky Preview Wed 24/4 – Some key changes for this game in the 24 hour update. Lomax and Suaalii are both playing on the wing with Bird in (centre) and Tupou out. Radley’s also out.
The Dragons had an impressive win against the Warriors at home.
The Dragons have exceeded expectations and the Roosters have underwhelmed. We think it could go down to the wire!
Same Game Multi
We’ll release the SGM for this game our free Discord channel on game day.
Storm v Rabbitohs
Thu 25/4, 7.50pm
Try Scorer Value Tips
Cam Murray FTS @ $46 (Topsport) + LTS @ $46 (Sportsbet)
Jacob Host FTS @ $44 (Topsport) & LTS @ $41 (widely available)
Damien Cook FTS @ $44 (Topsport) & LTS @ $41 (widely available)
Game Day Pick – Cody Walker FTS & LTS @ $29 on Pointsbet and Bet365
Game Day Preview – The above prices for Murray, Cook and Host are the same for LTS. But the FTS prices are $41 on most bookies ($44-46 gone). We still love these picks at these prices. The Storm are definitely the better side, but the forward pack is where the Rabbitohs will be able to match the Storm, especially come off the bye.
We’ve added Cody Walker as our game day pick. With Latrell still out – he’ll command the ball for the Bunnies and even though they’re playing the Storm at home, we absolutely love the $29 on offer for FTS and LTS (separate bets). He’s historically scored first one in every 12 games!
Wicky Preview Wed 24/4 – The Storm have had close margins in all their games in 2024. The Rabbitohs have been disappointing. They’re still missing Latrell, Tatola is now injured too. They do get Arrow and Cook back though.
Although the Storm spine is a class above Souths, the Rabbitohs pack and bench match up well against the Storm. It’s an ‘all in’ game for the Rabbitohs coming off the bye – will be interesting to see if they can match it with the Storm in Melbourne!
Same Game Multi
We’ll release the SGM for this game our free Discord channel on game day.
Sea Eagles v Eels
Fri 26/4, 8pm
Try Scorer Value Tips
Reagan Campbell-Gillard FTS @ $67 on Pointsbet
Ryan Matterson FTS @ $41 on Bet365
Taniela Paseka FTS @ $67 on Neds & Playup
Shaun Lane 1st, 2nd or 3rd try @ $14 on Neds
Game Day Pick – Raegan Campbell-Gillard LTS @ $71 on Sportsbet
Wicky Game Day Preview – We’ve added RCG at $71 for LTS on Sportsbet. We already had FTS at $67 now we’ve got LTS at a similarly juicy price! Paseka is still $67 FTS on Neds also.
Matterson is still $41 on Bet365 for FTS and Lane is still $14 to score any of the first three tries on Neds. Lane scored the first try last week, Matterson at $41 for someone who’s starting on the edge is a good price.
The line is almost 12 points – this might be an overreaction to the Eels’ defeat to the Dolphins in Darwin. They faded late in the heat and humidity – hopefully they can be in the fight early and their forwards can crash over early for us!
Same Game Multi
We’ll release the SGM for this game our free Discord channel on game day.
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West Tigers v Broncos
Sat 27/4, 5.30pm
Try Scorer Value Tips
Samuela Fainu 1st, 2nd or 3rd try @ $15 on Sportsbet
Brendan Piakura FTS @ $26 on Topsport and on Betr
Game Day Picks – Adam Reynolds FTS & LTS @ $34 on Bet365
Also adding Piakura LTS @ $26 on Bet365.
Wicky Game Day Preview Sat 27/4 – The Broncos get Haas, Reynolds and Piakura back but the Tigers are playing at home and are playing their first game with Galvin and Fainu on the left edge together. Should be an exciting game!
We’ve added Adam Reynolds as our game day pick. He’s way higher priced for FTS and LTS on 365 than other bookies and what our model would suggest his odds should be.
Fainu is still $15 for 1/2/3rd try on Sportsbet – he’s already scored a try for the Tigers coming off the bench earlier in the season and gets to play alongside Galvin from the start of the game. We love the price here and he’s a dynamic ball runner.
Brendan Piakura is a strong ball runner and we love the $26 for him FTS and LTS on Bet365. For context – Riki’s $21 at best (the other 2nd rower).
Same Game Multi
We’ll release the SGM for this game our free Discord channel on game day.
Want to know how to get the most out of our punter’s preview & odds comparison tool? Check out this article that breaks down some of the key words we use and how to make it work for you!
Cowboys v Panthers
Sat 27/4, 7.35pm
Try Scorer Value Tips
Griffin Neame FTS & LTS @ $67 on Dabble (FTS 67 available on other bookies also)
Jeremiah Nanai FTS & LTS @ $29 on Bet365
Reuben Cotter FTS @ $67 on Neds, Pointsbet & Playup + LTS @ $61 on Sportsbet
Mitchell Kenny 1st, 2nd or 3rd try @ $14 on Neds
Game Day Pick – Nathan Cleary FTS & LTS @ $21 on Bet365
Wicky Game Day Preview Sat 27/4 – We’ve added Nathan Cleary at FTS & LTS @ $21 on Bet365 as our game day pick. He scores the last try in games around one in every 10 games (including the 2023 GF!) – we love the $21s in a game the Panthers are strong favourites for. They are missing Sorenson and Leota, who have been replaced in the starting side by Garner and Lindsay Smith respectively.
Nanai is now $26 for FTS & LTS on Bet365 – we still love this price. Yes the Cowboys and his form haven’t been as good the last couple of weeks (he was benched last week). But we think with their two milestones and playing at home against the Panthers who will be missing a couple of players and have Cleary returning after a few weeks – there is definitely value around some Cowboys, especially try scoring guns like Nanai!
Speaking of value – we love Neame and Cotter for FTS and LTS. Neame is one of our all time favourites to tip and now he starts for Jason Taumalolo (benched)! You can find Neame $67 for FTS and LTS on Sportsbet and Dabble. Cotter’s still $67 on Pointsbet for FTS and $61 for LTS on Sportsbet.
Mitch Kenny has now gone out to $21 for 1/2/3rd try on Neds – we absolutely love this price. He’s not a huge runner of the ball, but the Cows pack has leaked tries through the middle this season and this price for a Panthers hooker is extremely juicy.
Same Game Multi
We’ll release the SGM for this game our free Discord channel on game day.
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