The 2021 season has been a great experience for us at Sport Tech Daily as we’ve further develope our try scorer models & ‘Edge’ product, partnered with Australia’s largest daily fantasy sports company & will soon be expanding our cricket & basketball offering. For now, we’re really pumped for Week 1 of the NRL finals & have listed the best first & anytime value try scorer plays with our reasoning below. Get in touch with us at hello@sporttechdaily.com or follow us on social media if you’d like to see more of our content or value plays!
Eels v Knights
Anytime Try Scorer – Mitch Barnett, 7 Sportsbet.
First Try Scorer – Enari Tuala, 13 Bet365.
The Eels are missing Mahoney, Sivo & have RCG and Ryan Matterson returning after a month. If the Knights can make the most of their in-form spine being available, it’ll likely mean that Kalyn Ponga has success on his favoured left edge. Mitch Barnett is a great hole runner on their left edge and the $7 available for him to score at any time is great value compared to the $6.30 our model thinks it should be and $5.70 or less you can get at other bookies. Enari Tuala is their left winger who has been on a great try scoring streak is priced at $13 which is great value compared to the $10.20 our model thinks he should be priced at.
Storm v Sea Eagles
Anytime Try Scorer – Tom Trbojevic, 2.20 TAB.
First Try Scorer – Reuben Garrick, 15 Bet365.
Tom Trbojevic has scored a try in 13/15 games this year. Our model has him priced at $1.77 & getting $2.20 for the most in-form player in the comp to score a try is great value IMO. Similar thought process to backing Trbojevic, unless you think Manly is going to get hammered by the Storm, Garrick is really good value at $15 for FTS. We have him priced at $10, highest price across other bookies is $12 and you’re getting $15 for him on Bet365.
Roosters v Titans
First Try Scorer – Matt Ikuvalu 8.50, SB & Bet365.
The Roosters should put away the Titans, who only locked in their finals spot on the last day of the regular season. If you agree, the $8.50 for Ikuvalu seems like a great value play given we have him priced at $8.75 and his price according to his career strike rate for FTS would be $7!
Panthers v Rabbitohs
Anytime Try Scorer – Alex Johnston, 2.25 Topsport.
First Try Scorer – Brian To’o, 9.50 Bet365.
If you think the Rabbitohs could struggle without Latrell and shift either Cody Walker or Alex Johnston into the fullback spot, the $9.50 for Brian To’o to score the first try is a great play. His price across most bookies and our model odds are around $7.65. If you think Souths can still put up some points in attack even if they don’t win, then Alex Johnston at $2.25 is a great value play. It also happens to be our model’s favourite ‘anytime try scorer’ value play for Week 1 of the NRL finals.
Multi Of The Week
Brian To’o & Reuben Garrick First Try Scorer @ $142.50 on Bet365. This multi is paying $100 or less on other sites. Garrick ($15) & To’o ($9.5) are much higher on bet365 than on other sites & our model. If you think Manly & the Panthers will do well, this is a great value play to back your tip at a great price!