NRL Finals Week 1 Betting Preview

NRL Finals Week 1 Betting Preview

The 2021 season has been a great experience for us at Sport Tech Daily as we’ve further develope our try scorer models & ‘Edge’ product, partnered with Australia’s largest daily fantasy sports company & will soon be expanding our cricket & basketball offering. For now, we’re really pumped for Week 1 of the NRL finals & have listed the best first & anytime value try scorer plays with our reasoning below. Get in touch with us at or follow us on social media if you’d like to see more of our content or value plays!

Our free ‘Edge’ data tool to find the best value plays for try scorer markets

Eels v Knights

Anytime Try Scorer – Mitch Barnett, 7 Sportsbet.

First Try Scorer – Enari Tuala, 13 Bet365.

The Eels are missing Mahoney, Sivo & have RCG and Ryan Matterson returning after a month. If the Knights can make the most of their in-form spine being available, it’ll likely mean that Kalyn Ponga has success on his favoured left edge. Mitch Barnett is a great hole runner on their left edge and the $7 available for him to score at any time is great value compared to the $6.30 our model thinks it should be and $5.70 or less you can get at other bookies. Enari Tuala is their left winger who has been on a great try scoring streak is priced at $13 which is great value compared to the $10.20 our model thinks he should be priced at.

Storm v Sea Eagles

Anytime Try Scorer – Tom Trbojevic, 2.20 TAB. 

First Try Scorer – Reuben Garrick, 15 Bet365. 

Tom Trbojevic has scored a try in 13/15 games this year. Our model has him priced at $1.77 & getting $2.20 for the most in-form player in the comp to score a try is great value IMO.¬†Similar thought process to backing Trbojevic, unless you think Manly is going to get hammered by the Storm, Garrick is really good value at $15 for FTS. We have him priced at $10, highest price across other bookies is $12 and you’re getting $15 for him on Bet365.

Roosters v Titans

First Try Scorer – Matt Ikuvalu 8.50, SB & Bet365.

The Roosters should put away the Titans, who only locked in their finals spot on the last day of the regular season. If you agree, the $8.50 for Ikuvalu seems like a great value play given we have him priced at $8.75 and his price according to his career strike rate for FTS would be $7!

Panthers v Rabbitohs

Anytime Try Scorer – Alex Johnston, 2.25 Topsport.

First Try Scorer – Brian To’o, 9.50 Bet365.

If you think the Rabbitohs could struggle without Latrell and shift either Cody Walker or Alex Johnston into the fullback spot, the $9.50 for Brian To’o to score the first try is a great play. His price across most bookies and our model odds are around $7.65. If you think Souths can still put up some points in attack even if they don’t win, then Alex Johnston at $2.25 is a great value play. It also happens to be our model’s favourite ‘anytime try scorer’ value play for Week 1 of the NRL finals.

Multi Of The Week

Brian To’o & Reuben Garrick First Try Scorer @ $142.50 on Bet365. This multi is paying $100 or less on other sites. Garrick ($15) & To’o ($9.5) are much higher on bet365 than on other sites & our model. If you think Manly & the Panthers will do well, this is a great value play to back your tip at a great price!

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