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Storm v Sharks
Sun 29/6, 2pm
Try Scorer Value Tips
Shawn Blore FTS & LTS @ $41 (most bookies)
Braden Uele FTS2H @ $61 on Bet Right (Could be similar on Sportsbet)
Uele’s scored first in the 2nd half every 30 NRL games. Yes it’s against the Storm but he’s been looking dangerous and like the $61 on offer on Bet Right.
Blore seems like he’s not value with most bookies happy to price him at $41 but he’s next to a red hot Munster and we actually like the $41 in a game the Storm at 10 point favourites in!
Titans v Cowboys
Sun 29/6, 4.05pm
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Jacob Alick LTS @ $67 on Bet365
Alick has been getting very little minutes off the bench. But in what’s expected to be a high scoring game and with the Titans having a few Origin representatives, we can see him getting a stint at the end of the game if it’s not close.
He’s always a chance of filling in the outside backs as well. Love the $67 for someone who could be on the field with say 10 minutes to go and potentially in the backs if there’s an injury!
Panthers v Bulldogs
Thu 26/6, 7.50pm
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Sea Eagles v Wests Tigers
Fri 27/6, 6pm
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Terrell May FTS & LTS @ $67 on Bet365
Terrell May’s been in great form over the last 12 months, he’s $51 or below on other bookies which we think is around the fair price.
Knights v Raiders
Fri 27/6, 8pm
Try Scorer Value Tips
- Either team 1-12 on Bet365 @ 1.90
Raiders
- Having a really elite season this year but have scored on average 8 fewer points-per-game on the road vs at home
- Ruthless against sides with bad defences, averaging 35 points-per-game vs bottom 4 defences but 25 points-per-game against all other opposition (Knights second fewest points conceded)
Knights
- Have struggled to score points all season but I think if they can get 3 tries, they should be able to stay within 12 points of the Raiders
- For most games this season, they haven’t been able to field their strongest lineup but are pretty close to it now – just missing Leo Thompson and Adam Elliot but Elliot can be covered
Broncos v Warriors
Sat 28/6, 3pm
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Jack Gosiewski LTS @ $67 on Bet365
Leka Halasima LTS @ $41 on Bet365
Backrowers on the bench priced decently on 365. Nothing new.
Fair price for both of them are probably around $34. Gosiewski clearly better value but Halasima has been on fire this year, scoring in 5 of his 14 NRL games this season.
Dragons v Eels
Sat 28/6, 5.30pm
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Joey Lussick FTS & LTS @ $51 on Dabble (LTS also on Sportsbet)
Lussick has scored a try every 4-5 games (depending on whether you look at his stats from 2021 or 2024 onwards).
Great strike rate for a hooker who often doesn’t get big minutes but should play out the game in this one. Love the $51s.
Dolphins v Rabbitohs
Sat 28/6, 7.50pm
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Aublix Tawha LTS @ $51 on Sportsbet
This is one that makes us proud to tip. He’s been listed as a Centre on his NRL/QLD Cup profile but has played at prop and 2nd row in the last two seasons.
Tawha has 15 tries in 28 games in the last 2 seasons including a double in his last game in QLD Cup.
Feagai’s come in for Bostock and The Hammer is going through the Origin period, hopefully there’s a small chance he gets a crack in the outside backs.
If not, maybe a stint late in the game with the Phins’ undermanned pack and he can have a crack for us.
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