Welcome to Wicky’s Punter’s Preview for Round 13 of the 2024 NRL season. We had an amazing week in Round 12, nailing Payne Haas at 51s and James Fisher-Harris at 67s for first try scorer!
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Roosters v Cowboys
Sun 2/6, 4.05pm
Try Scorer Value Tips
Griffin Neame FTS @ $81 on Neds, LTS @ $67 (365, Neds, TAB, Unibet)
Chad Townsend FTS & LTS @ $67 on Bet365 (This is 2 separate bets btw. Both FTS and LTS at this price)
Thomas Mikaele FTS @ $67 on Bet Right and Neds
Luke Keary FTS @ $29 on Betr
Game Day Picks: Jason Taumalolo FTS2H @ $81 on Neds
Game Day Preview Sun 2/6 – The Roosters have lost Tedesco on game day – replacing Edwards in Origin 1! We’ve added Taumalolo as our game day pick to crash over for the 1st try in the 2nd half @ $81 on Neds. The Roosters’ bench is much smaller than usual, with no regular NRL middle forwards on there.
Keary is now widely available at $26 for FTS, Mikaele is $67 on Neds for FTS still and Townsend is now $51 for FTS and LTS on most bookies which we still think is OK. With no Tedesco, we especially like Keary to get even more touches and Mikaele as a big bopper on a heavy track with the rain that’s been around in Sydney over the last couple of days!
Same Game Multi
We’ll release the SGM for this game our free Discord channel on game day.
Eels v Sharks
Thu 30/5, 7.50pm
Try Scorer Value Tips
Oregon Kaufusi FTS & LTS @ $67 on Bet365 (This is 2 separate bets btw. Both FTS and LTS at this price)
Mitchell Moses FTS & LTS @ $29 on Bet365 (This is 2 separate bets btw. Both FTS and LTS at this price)
Game Day Picks:
Braden Uele LTS @ $67 on Bet365
Game Day Preview Thu 30/5 – Miraculously Moses is now $34 for FTS and LTS. We love this price – he’s $18-23 on most other bookies. Kaufusi is still $67 for FTS and LTS on 365 and Neds. He’s scored the first try in a game a month ago and scored another try since then.
Uele was freakish with his try scoring abilities a few seasons ago but has been hit with injuries in the last 12 months. In 2021 for example, he played every game from the bench – scoring 4 tries in 21 games, including 3 which were the first in the 2nd half. The Sharks have scored the most tries through middle forwards in 2024 and he’s already looked really dangerous when running the ball this year, we love the $67 on offer for LTS.
Same Game Multi
We’ll release the SGM for this game our free Discord channel on game day.
Want to know how to get the most out of our punter’s preview & odds comparison tool? Check out this article that breaks down some of the key words we use and how to make it work for you!
Knights v Bulldogs
Fri 31/5, 8pm
Try Scorer Value Tips
Jacob Preston FTS & LTS (separate) @ $26 on Bet365
Samuel Hughes FTS @ $51 on Topsport, Dabble, Betr. LTS @ $51 on Sportsbet, Dabble
Wicky Gameday Preview Fri 31/5 – Hughes has been in great form for the Dogs this year, scoring 2 tries in his rookie season including one which was the 1st try! The Dogs are missing Kikau, Burton and Critta but he’ll want to stamp his authority on this game against a full strength Knights pack.
Preston has scored 6 tries in 27 NRL games including the 1st try 3 times. We love the $26 for FTS and LTS for him – especially given he’s likely next to Sexton on the right side and Burton and Kikau are missing from the left edge!
Same Game Multi
We’ll release the SGM for this game our free Discord channel on game day.
Want to know more about how we built our NRL try scorer models? Check out our explainer article here. Remember the model odds are only a guide to finding the best value first try scorer and anytime try scorer value plays!
Panthers v Dragons
Sat 1/6, 5.30pm
Try Scorer Value Tips
Mavrik Geyer LTS @ $41 on Neds and Bet Right
Scott Sorenson 1st, 2nd or 3rd try @ $10.50 on Neds
Ben Murdoch-Masila FTS2H @ $67 on Neds
Game Day Pick –
James Fisher-Harris FTS & LTS @ $51 on Bet365
Wicky Game Day Preview Sat 1/6 – Fisher-Harris got up for us at $67 to score the first try just last week! This game will be played on a heavy track and likely with rain during the game also – we love him to crash over against a depleted Dragons side with not much to play for.
Sorenson, Geyer and Murdoch-Masila are all still the same price. Sorenson is the Panthers’ starting 2nd rower – that price is similar to seeing $31.50 for FTS and he’s around $21-26 on most bookies for the 1st try scorer market!
The Panthers’ pack is light on today and BMM is a strong ball runner. We love a big middle who loves to attack the try line, especially in this weather. The $67 price tag is an attractive one for BMM in this matchup.
Mav Geyer has been a player we’ve targetted for LTS plays in recent weeks as he plays the last 20-30 minutes on the edge. If he was starting – his FTS price would be around $26, so you can see why we love the $41 for LTS!
Same Game Multi
We’ll release the SGM for this game our free Discord channel on game day.
Dolphins v Raiders
Sat 1/6, 7.35pm
Try Scorer Value Tips
Joseph Tapine FTS @ $67 on Neds
Tom Starling LTS @ $51 on Neds
Jeremy Marshall-King 1st, 2nd or 3rd try @ $13 on Neds (This won – he scored the 1st try!)
Keao Weekes FTS & LTS @ $34 on Bet365 (This is 2 separate bets btw. Both FTS and LTS at this price)
Game Day Pick – Simi Sasagi FTS2H @ $67 on Neds
Wicky Game Day Preview Sat 1/6 – We’ve added Sasagi as our game day pick as he should spend some time on the edge for the Raiders with Mariota playing there (Young is with the Blues).
The prices for Starling, JMK and Tapine are luckily still the same. The forecast for this game says ‘rain increasing’ so another one where we’re very happy to be on Tapine at $67 to crash over first and the 2 hookers – Marshall-King and Starling to score.
Marshall-King is $26-34 for FTS on most bookies and we’re getting $14 for him to score any of the first 3 tries today, similar to seeing $42 for FTS. Clear value.
Starling has been playing out the games at hooker, so you can see why we love $51 for LTS considering their starting hooker is around $26-34 for FTS. We’re getting around 1.5x the price he should be at.
Same Game Multi
We’ll release the SGM for this game our free Discord channel on game day.
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