Punter’s Preview NRL Grand Final 2024

Punter’s Preview NRL Grand Final 2024

Welcome to Wicky’s Punter’s Preview for the 2024 NRL Grand Final. We hit Luke Garner last try scorer at 34s in Week 1 of the Finals!

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Storm v Panthers

Sun 6/10, 6.30pm

Try Scorer Value Tips

James Fisher-Harris FTS/LTS @ $34 on Neds

Isaah Yeo FTS/LTS @ $34 on Sportsbet
Tui Kamikamica FTS/LTS @ $41 on Sportsbet
Moses Leota FTS & LTS @ $67 on BET365

Alec MacDonald 3rd tryscorer @ $81 on Sportsbet
Brad Schneider LTS @ $41 on 365 and Dabble

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Same Game Multi

We’ll release the SGM for this game our free Discord channel on game day.

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Clive Churchill Medal

Moses Leota @ $101 on Bet365

Tui Kamikamica @ $201 on Neds

Shawn Blore @ $126 on Pointsbet

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These were all clearly higher prices on the bookies mentioned above. Obviously super unlikely but if they can score a try – we can see them genuinely having a shot in what should be a tight, grindy affair between two class sides.

Want to know more about how we built our NRL try scorer models? Check out our explainer article here. Remember the model odds are only a guide to finding the best value first try scorer and anytime try scorer value plays!

Left v Right Analysis

R WING

R CTR R EDG R HLF L HLF L EDG L CTR L WING

Warbrick

Meaney E Katoa J Hughes Munster
Blore
Howarth Coates
Turuva Alamoti Garner Luai Cleary Martin I Tago

To’o

L WING L CTR L EDG L HLF R HLF R EDG R CTR

R WING

Wicky’s breakdown – The Panthers have conceded 56% of their tries through the right edge in 2024. It makes the contest between Munster and Cleary/Martin even juicier. Given Cleary’s busted shoulder and Martin’s verbal attack on Munster this week.

Look out for Cam Munster to put Shawn Blore over or maybe go himself (he scored a double last week).

For the Panthers – Cleary’s been on fire in attack this season. He scored the try to seal a historic comeback in their GF win last season – we wouldn’t put it past him to score last again this week, he’s done it almost one in every 10 NRL games he’s played!

For a roughie – we’re weighing up Kamikamica or Leota/JFH. With no NAS, we’re thinking Kamikamica steps up. Grant loves putting a big boy over too.

If you want to follow more of our NRL analysis throughout the season or any of our other work at Wicky, please reach out via email or on social media.

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