NBA DFS Weekly Trends Overview

NBA DFS Weekly Trends Overview

Who’s in form in the NBA and who’s offered value in Draftstars? We’ve crunched the numbers and analysed the past week’s NBA Draftstars trends. Plus we’ve assessed how the recent slate winners got ahead, to give you an insight into the winning DFS formula.

TEAM FORM

The table-topping Phoenix Suns have won eight of their past 10 games and their past four straight with Devin Booker (SG|PG $15,260) leading the way.

Booker had 48 points, five rebounds and six assists in Tuesday’s win over the San Antonio Spurs. It was a season-high 71.75 DFS points, with 41% ownership, having noted his form. He has a three-game average of 53.8 DFS points, up on his season average of 40.5.

The Miami Heat have surged into contention in the Eastern Conference, winning 10 of their past 13 games and five of their past six. Amid that, Turkish rookie center Omar Yurtseven (C $13,210) has shown his quality, stepping up in Bam Adebayo’s (C $14,570) absence.

Yurtseven has a three-game average of 38.2 up on his season average of 18.7 but the kicker is Adebayo’s return, having played in Tuesday’s win over the Toronto Raptors. Monitor how the Heat handle the pair being available.

Warriors rookie Jonathan Kuminga is finally getting decent minutes and subsequently producing good DFS scores.

PLAYER FORM

OKC’s Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (PG $15,080) is running hot at the moment with two 50+ DFS scores in his past four games, meaning he has a four-game average of 51.44 DFS points, up on his season average of 40.

New York Knicks point guard RJ Barrett (PG|SF $14,340) is another on a good run, with a consistent run of DFS scores around the 40 mark, offering up a three-game average of 42.7 DFS points up on his season average of 29.5.

Warriors rookie Jonathan Kuminga (PF $6,920) is finally getting decent minutes and subsequently producing good DFS scores. Kuminga’s past four scores are 28.8, 42.3, 26.3 and 23, way up on his season average of 10.6 DFS points. Growth in his ownership is among the NBA Draftstars trends.

DOOR OPEN

The Portland Trail Blazers have lost key players in recent weeks, with Damian Lillard (PG $17,940) undergoing abdominal surgery ruling him out until mid-February, while CJ McCollum (SG|PG $13,930) had been out for a month with a collapsed right lung.

In the meantime, Anfernee Simons (SF|PG $16,650) has found his groove in the NBA, with a three-game average of 49.6, until Tuesday’s ordinary 25 DFS score, which was well up on his season average of 24.4 as he enjoys more minutes. Robert Covington has been good lately too, with a three-game average of 33.4 up on his season average of 22.1.

Ben McLemore (SG $7,200) – who we discussed in last week’s Draftstars Friday slate preview – and Nassir Little (PG|SF $9,360) have had some good games too. McCollum returned on Tuesday so monitor their trends with him in the side.

Anfernee Simons has found his groove in the NBA with a three-game average of 49.6, which was well up on his season average of 24.4 as he enjoys more minutes.

PLAYER OWNERSHIP/WINNING TEAMS

Tuesday’s slate

Booker (SG|PG $15,260) dominated Tuesday’s $25,000 slate with his 48-point game equating to 71.75 DFS points, which delighted his 41% ownership, including slate winner ILoveLamp.

The slate’s most-owned player, JaVale McGee (C $8,230) was a flop with only 18 DFS points, while premium LeBron James (SF|PF $20,620) let his 35% owners down, as an alternative to Booker, with only 49.25 DFS points.

ILoveLamp’s success was also centered around get value from Chris Boucher (PF $9,420), Little (PG|SF $9,360) and Jakob Poeltl (C $12,320) with 41.5, 36.5 and 50.5 DFS points respectively. The latter had only 3% ownership.

Monday’s slate

The most expensive player, Nuggets center Nikola Jokic (C $22,110) top scored in Monday’s $20,000 slate with 71.25 DFS points for 35% ownership which was well up on his normal ownership numbers. Kings guard Terence Davis (SG|SF $6,210) offered great value with 40.50 DFS points but was well owned at 84%.

Another Kings guard, Davion Mitchell (PG $6,970), was more unique with good value at 30% ownership for 39.5 DFS points, while Sacramento star De’Aaron Fox (PG $14,500) bombed out for his 68% ownership with only 22.75 DFS points.

Kuminga (PF $6,920) was only owned by 23% for his 28.75 DFS points and he was in Monday slate winner Vinhski82’s line-up along with Mitchell, Davis and Jokic.

Sunday’s slate

Cavs guard Darius Garland (PG|SG $15,010) was only owned by 32% but top scored Sunday’s $25,000 slate with 63.25 DFS points. He pipped premium Nets star James Harden (PG $19,670) for top score with 63 DFS points at a much-lower price, meaning his 19% owners missed out.

Hawks forward De’Andre Hunter (SF $6,970) was the most owned at 51% but only managed 17.25 DFS points, while Jeff Green (PF|SF $7,350) provided value with 39.75 DFS points but Bones Hyland (PG|SG $6,000) broke the slate with 50 DFS points and was owned by winner jbarrett 16.

Saturday’s slate

Spurs guard Dejounte Murray (PG $20,440) top scored the $30,000 Saturday slate with only 3% ownership for his 60.5 DFS points. But the play was to fade the premiums like Luka Doncic (PG $19,950) and Joel Embiid (C $20,470).

Slate winner dtownsend had an even spread of good scorers which is one of the NBA Draftstars trends for winning sides recently, led by Fox (PG $14,730) with 49.5 DFS points, while Indiana’s Justin Holiday (SG|SF $7,410) contributed 47 DFS points with only 13% ownership to provide a point of difference.

Orlando’s Moritz Wagner (C|PF $6,000) was only owned by 1% by churned out 38 DFS points. Marvin Bagley (PF|C $8,610) and Jae-Sean Tate (SF|PF $11,030) were key to dtownsend’s success with 48.75 and 49 DFS points respectively too.

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