NBA DFS Weekly Trends Overview

NBA DFS Weekly Trends Overview

The past week’s NBA slates have offered up some interesting trends that wannabe winners should take note, ahead of more big-money Draftstars slates. We’ve assessed the winning teams, form lines and key player ownership info.

PLAYER OWNERSHIP/WINNING TEAMS

Tuesday’s slate

Premium Hawks guard Trae Young (PG $20,890) was only owned by 4% but top scored for the slate with 85 DS points, while high-priced Joel Embiid (C $21,630) was next best with 71.25 DS points for his 4% ownership. In the premium category, 15% turned to Luka Doncic (PG $19,330) who only managed 62 DS points.

Trail Blazers guard Anfernee Simons (SG|PF $8,890) was popular with 57% ownership and delivered 60.75 DS points, so owning him was key. Minnesota’s Naz Reid (C|PF $9,900) was another well-owned cheap option (53%) but only managed 25.5 DS points.

Tuesday’s $30,000 slate winner Crispie88 owned Young, Doncic, Simons and Reid but found value with Furkan Korkmaz (SG|SG $6,300) scoring 51.75 DS points and Rockets rookie Josh Christopher (SG|SF $6,000) adding 28 DS points.

Monday’s slate

The $25,000 slate winner dtownsend only got the victory by a small margin from sammy, with both owning slate top scorers Jaylen Brown (SF|SF $17,010) and Josh Giddey (SG|SF $13,980), with the former scoring 50 points in a game which went to over-time and the latter recording his first career triple-double equating to 76.25 and 65.25 SC points respectively. The majority of coaches missed the pair who had ownership of 24% and 14% respectively.

Heat forward Jimmy Butler (SF $16,610) attracted 53% ownership but an in-game injury meant he only managed 35.5 DS points, so fading him was key. Pacers cheapie Duane Washington (SG $6,000) was the most-owned player with 66% ownership and delivered 28.75 DS points, while 62% got on Ty Jerome (SG|PG $8,490) who only added 18.75 DS points.

The difference between dtownsend and sammy was the victor faded Jerome, grabbing Aleksej Pokusevski (PF|SF $6,000) instead, posting 20.75 DS points to win the slate by 2 DS points.

Sunday’s slate

There were joint winners in Sunday’s $25,000 slate with johnnydees and drondron taking it out with the same line-ups led by Bryn Forbes (SG $6,000) who broke the slate at 17% ownership with 41.25 DS points.

Spurs guard Tre Jones (PG $6,650) was the most-owned player at 68% returning 27.75 DS points, while Devin Vassell (SG|SF $8,360) offered value with 38 DS points at 49% ownership. Pistons mid-pricer Hamadou Diallo (SG|SF $15,120) attracted 27% ownership but returned 71.5 DS points, which was the second highest behind bumper-priced James Harden (PG $23,510).

Saturday’s slate

Uber premium LeBron James (SF|PF $22,680) powered JP4_3 to victory in Saturday’s $25,000 slate with a slate-high 78.5 DS points at only 23% ownership. Rarely does owning the most expensive player in a slate pay off, but it did for JP4_3.

JP4_3 also had good assistance with valuable points from Memphis’ Brandon Clarke (PF|C $6,800) with 35.25 DS points at 22% ownership, along with Raptors bigman Pascal Siakam (PF|C $15,720) with his 67.75 DS points being the second highest for the slate.

Rarely does owning the most expensive player in a slate pay off, but it did for JP4_3 with LeBron James.

TEAM FORM

The Philadelphia 76ers have won four in a row and that’s been fuelled by Joel Embiid (C $22,410) finding some consistently good form. He’s scored 71.3, 52.8, 59.3 and 61.8 across his past four games.

On the flipside, the Brooklyn Nets have lost three in a row despite the reunion of Kevin Durant (SF|PF $21,970) and James Harden (PG $23,080) after both had time in COVID-19 protocols. Harden’s numbers are down with nothing above 51 DS points in his past three games, so he’s worth fading.

PLAYER FORM

Celtics forward Jaylen Brown (SF|SG $18,410) is enjoying some career-best form, fresh from a 50-point haul in the over-time win over the Orlando Magic which equated to a DS season-high 76.3 points.

DOOR OPEN

Trae Young (PG $20,680) has hit form with several Atlanta Hawks absent, with a three-game average of 64.1 DS points up on his season average of 49.9. He’s not cheap though.

Keep an eye on Mavs All-Star Luka Doncic (PG $19,070) with gun teammate Kristaps Porzingis (PF $16,660) entering into COVID-19 protocols. Doncic scored 62 DS points in the Mavs’ win over the Denver Nuggets on Tuesday with Porzingis out.

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